Economic forecast: Weaker growth expected, uncertainty remains high
Bern, 16.06.2025 — The Federal Government Expert Group on Business Cycles has revised down its forecast for Swiss economic growth. GDP adjusted for sporting events is expected to grow by 1.3% in 2025, followed by 1.2% in 2026 (March forecasts: 1.4% and 1.6% respectively)1. This would mean the Swiss economy growing at a significantly below-average rate in both years. The forecast assumes no further escalation of the international trade conflict. Given the high level of uncertainty, SECO has formulated two supplementary scenarios to the expert group's forecast.